The NFL Draft is deep in the rearview. OTAs are underway, but we are hurtling towards the dead period in the NFL. There’s no better time to embark upon a dangerous but fun mission: looking at the win totals for every and deciding whether or not each team will win more or less games than Vegas predicts.
Nothing ages better than predictions in May right? Turns out I’m not terrible at it! The last few seasons have been pretty profitable: 2016 I and . In 2017 I . Last year in the NFC was notodi Lukebakio.The former Watford midfielder moved to Hertha last week for €20m.Covic enthused to BILD: “He is an outstanding player for what we want to play. “He can play in the attack on the outside and in the middle. Frequently, fast, straightfor ideal with a 7-8-1 record. The AFC was once again absurd, as I went 12-4 in my over/under picks for that conference.
For you math majors, my AFC record from MAY the last three years is 34-11-3 in terms of picking over-unders. That’s stupid. I’d tell you to bet on every AFC pick I give here, but there’s some regression coming at some point probably.
Last year we went team-by-team with these picks, but this year we’ll be going back to the divisional format I used in 2016 and 2017. If you hate any picks, love any picks or have better ideas, leave them in the comments or . You can also get , as we run through each division on our DAILY NFL PODCAST over the next few weeks. Listen to the latest episode in the player below.
All lines are courtesy of the Westgate at the time the article was published. They’re subject to change but I’ll be grading myself next May on these numbers. The numbers next to the win total indicate the juice. If an over is +150, it means you make $150 for betting $100. If it’s -150 you need to bet $150 just to win $100.
This may all come down to health, with no longer on the roster to bail Philly out if their franchise quarterback is injured. isn’t a bad backup option, but if Wentz goes down, the Eagles could sink quickly. It would be a shame, because this roster looks great. Kudos to Howie Roseman for building out depth and talent across the board. , , and are going to cause problems. The draft created depth at offensive line and wide receiver. and give them a very nice dynamic in the backfield. return complements and Zach Ertz/Dallas Goedert well. The schedule isn’t bad either, with the (2x)/Dolphins/Redskins on the schedule four times in the final five weeks. I think this is an over play but would vastly prefer 9.5 instead. This is the best team in the division to me.
I kind of like this Cowboys team. The numbers put up after Dallas traded for are incredible. is one of the two or three best running backs in the league. Dallas has an elite offensive line. The defense looked like it could be an emerging unit late last year. is back in the fold. The secondary is youRoss Barkley has welcomed back Callum Hudson-Odoi to action.The teenage winger returned in the win over Grimsby after five months out. Barkley is excited to play alongside the 18-year-old once again.Barkley said, “Last season he was growing with the ng and talented. Leighton VanderEsch and are maybe the best young linebacking duo in football. I worry a little about taking over the play calling on offense, just because it’s his first time. I worry a lot about Jason Garrett coaching the team because we know how he operates. There’s big win potential here, but I also think there could be some regression on the offense and defense this year. With the schedule, I look at this team and I see a squad that is going to win eight or nine games so I’ll go under.
If you like this under, you should take it now. It’s only going to drop and get more expensive as the Redskins roster really reveals itself. Credit to Jay Gruden for winning the games he does; he’s coaching above the talent on the roster. And now the quarterback situation is in flux too. will be pressed into duty because of ownership preference. If it’s not him, it’s or . and staying healthy with the offensive line all playing give this team eight or nine win potential, but the Redskins are never healthy. At some point you need to quit looking at luck and wonder about something internal. I like and a lot but this is a very weak pass catching corps. OTA injury is crippling. Is that big a difference maker? The Redskins could easily be 0-5 going to the in Week 6.
New York Giants
Call me a sucker but I’m starting to be here for the Giants season. I don’t agree with all of Dave Gettleman’s moves, but I think he’s made a lot of smart football decisions in the last 24 months. Shuttling , going running back () over quarterback () and taking a backup quarterback out of Duke at No. 6 overall () stand out. But he’s actually made some reasonable moves and I can see the Giants becoming a clone of the 2016 Cowboys. Run the heck out of the ball with a revamped offensive line, turn Barkley into the focal point of the offense and don’t let blow any games. They open up at the Cowboys, versus the , at the and home against the Redskins. You sure they can’t start 4-0??? The , and Dolphins are alsev over interest from Manchester United.The young striker has taken the Russian Premier League by storm this season and has just earned a first call-up to the senior national team squad. Sobolev has been named as a replacement for Lokomotiv striker Fo on the schedule. The secondary is a concern, but the front seven has some sneaky talent including (one of ), rookie behemoth and B.J. Hill and . I’m not looking for some 13-win season or anything. They just need to steal seven wins with an option to push at 6-10.
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